On May 7, 2025, Ethereum's Pectra upgrade (fork name: Electra) activated EIP-7251 — the Maximum Effective Balance change. The idea was to let validators hold up to 2,048 ETH each, unlocking two things: compounding rewards for validators who opt in, and simpler operations for large stakers who no longer need to manage thousands of 32-ETH keys.
Most coverage focused on the compounding angle. The real story turned out to be something else.
In the nine months since Pectra, Ethereum's active validator set has shrunk by 110,007 validators — from 1,068,860 to 958,853. Meanwhile, 3,055 mega-validators holding more than 1,024 ETH each have emerged from essentially nowhere.