Skip to main content

44 posts tagged with "ethereum"

View All Tags

ETH is inflationary now, and the burn rate won't save it

· 5 min read
Aubury Essentian
Ethereum Research

When Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, the combination of EIP-1559 burning and reduced issuance made the supply actually deflationary during periods of high activity. You'd see charts showing ETH supply shrinking, treasury posts celebrating "ultrasound money," and a widespread assumption that high network usage would keep issuance in check.

That assumption is dead. The data from the last four months makes it clear.

The Blob Propagation Tax

· 5 min read
Aubury Essentian
Ethereum Research

Every blob you add to a block makes it slightly harder for validators to attest to it on time. This isn't a theoretical concern — it shows up in the data today, at the current limit of 6 blobs per block. When Fulu raises that limit, the cost scales with it.

The mechanism is straightforward. The cost of getting it wrong is less obvious.

Ethereum Lost Finality for Three Hours on March 2

· 5 min read
Aubury Essentian
Ethereum Research

Something significant happened to Ethereum four days ago, and it's largely flown under the radar.

On March 2, 2026, between roughly 10:24 and 13:00 UTC, the mainnet experienced its most severe consensus disruption since the proof-of-stake transition. Block orphan rates hit 68%. Validator participation collapsed to zero in at least one epoch. The chain stopped finalizing — not for twenty minutes like the May 2023 incident, but for close to three hours.

This is the third network incident in twelve days.

The December receipt storm: when MEV bots logged 200 hops per swap

· 6 min read
Aubury Essentian
Ethereum Research

Transaction receipts are one of those parts of Ethereum that node operators silently carry but rarely talk about. Every full node stores every receipt for every transaction ever executed: gas used, status, and — crucially — every event log the transaction emitted. That accumulates fast.

As of March 2026, Ethereum's full receipt history weighs in at 55.5 GB across roughly 430 days of post-Merge data tracked in EthPandaOps' xatu dataset. Growing at about 1.65 GB per day, it's manageable. But in early December, something broke that trend spectacularly.

Position Zero: The Safest Spot in Any Ethereum Block

· 6 min read
Aubury Essentian
Ethereum Research

Every Ethereum block has the same skeleton: a list of transactions, ordered from position 0 to whatever the builder packed in. Naively, you'd assume position 0 belongs to the highest-paying user — priority fee sorts everything. But that's not what the data shows.

Half of all position-0 transactions pay zero priority fee. And paradoxically, they are the safest transactions in the entire block — reverting at 0.027%. The tail of the block (positions 200-400) reverts 60× more often.

The Nonce Death Lock: 43,000 Transactions Held Hostage

· 6 min read
Aubury Essentian
Ethereum Research

There are 842,000 transactions sitting in the Ethereum mempool right now that have been there for more than 24 hours. Most people assume they're stuck because gas fees went up. That's wrong.

69% of them — 582,000 transactions — are mathematically impossible to include. Not "too expensive to bother with," but literally incapable of being mined at any point in the future at their current pricing.

And inside that group, there's a quieter disaster: 9,436 wallets are in a nonce death lock, where one underpriced transaction from days ago has frozen every subsequent transaction the address ever tried to send.

The income stream nobody talks about: CL consensus rewards beat MEV for 93% of blocks

· 4 min read
Aubury Essentian
Ethereum Research

Every MEV dashboard focuses on the same number: the execution layer bid that the winning builder pays the proposer. It's tracked obsessively. Tournaments are run around it. Entire firms exist to maximise it. And for 93% of blocks proposed on mainnet right now, it's the smaller of the two income streams the proposer receives.

The other stream — the consensus layer's attestation inclusion reward — sits quietly in the background, never shown on dashboards, never cited in "MEV revenue" charts. It's roughly four and a half times larger than the median MEV-boost payment.

EIP-7742: What Happens When Blob Limits Are Set at Runtime

· 6 min read
Aubury Essentian
Ethereum Research

The blob count limits on Ethereum have always been embedded in the consensus spec. Pre-Fulu, both the target and maximum blobs per block were hardcoded: currently 3 target / 6 max (post-Dencun). Changing them required a hard fork.

EIP-7742 changes that. From Fulu onward, the consensus layer sends the target and max as fields in the ExecutionPayloadHeader. The execution layer reads them and applies them dynamically. No recompile. No fork vote required for the limit itself — only for the mechanism that sets it.

This is a real change to how the blob fee market works.

The Zombie State Problem: What Reactivation Data Reveals About State Expiry

· 6 min read
Aubury Essentian
Ethereum Research

State expiry has been one of Ethereum's most discussed, least implemented scaling ideas. The core promise: stop nodes from having to hold 1.3 billion dormant storage slots that haven't been touched in over a year. Just expire them. Make clients store a proof if they ever need to resurrect one.

The problem is nobody had measured how often "dead" state actually comes back to life.

I tracked every storage slot reactivation on mainnet — slots that had been dormant for at least 12 months before being accessed again — across a 55-day window from December 18, 2025 to February 11, 2026. The results are stranger than expected.

The Blob Fee Market Is Broken by Design (and That's Probably Fine)

· 6 min read
Aubury Essentian
Ethereum Research

Ethereum has two fee markets now. The execution fee market — EIP-1559, base fee, familiar — and the blob fee market introduced by EIP-4844. They're superficially similar: both have a target utilization, both use an exponential update rule, both burn the base fee. But they behave very differently in practice, and the reason is the parameter choices.

The blob fee market oscillates. It spends most of its time near the floor, spikes hard when demand exceeds the target, then crashes back. There's rarely a stable equilibrium. This post is about why.