There's a 3-second cliff in Ethereum's attestation system. Blocks that arrive after it — when validators have already started forming their head votes — cause measurable drops in head accuracy. The earlier post established that with 50,000 slots of data.
What it didn't answer: who's responsible?
I started this looking for evidence that high-MEV blocks are harder for execution clients to process. The intuition is obvious: MEV blocks are full of complex DeFi interactions, sandwich attacks, arbitrage — all the state-thrashing stuff. Surely they're heavier to execute.
They're not. The correlation between MEV block value and newPayload execution time is r = −0.004. Essentially random noise.
What actually predicts execution latency is simpler and more boring: how much gas the block used.
I found a smoking gun in the mempool data: an MEV extraction bot is being systematically excluded from Ethereum blocks with a 91.9% exclusion rate. The kicker? Higher gas prices correlate with higher exclusion rates — the exact opposite of how a functioning market should work.
The Gas Price Paradox: For one sender, excluded transactions offered 11.78 gwei on average. The single transaction that got through? 1.7 gwei. This is reverse price discrimination — the more you pay, the less likely you are to be included.